模型估计：若无针对10种疾病的疫苗接种，中低收入国家5岁以下儿童的死亡率将增加45%

NOTES TO EDITORS （上下滑动查看）

This study was funded by the Vaccine Alliance (Gavi) and The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and It was conducted by researchers from Imperial College London, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, National University of Singapore, Public Health England, Laval University, Johns Hopkins University, Colorado State University, The Pennsylvania State University, Lafayette College, Kaiser Permanente, University of Cambridge, University of Notre Dame, Dublin City University, Harvard University, Oxford University, University of Southampton, Conservatoire national des arts et metiers, University of Hong Kong and the Center for Disease Analysis Foundation. 

[1] Quote direct from authors and cannot be found in the text of the Article. 

[2] Twenty mathematical models were used to produce the estimates: two models for each pathogen other than Hep B, which had three models, and yellow fever, which had one model. Descriptions of the models are provided in the Supplementary Information. Impact estimates of vaccines were derived from averaging over the different models, with each model for a pathogen given equal weighting. 

[3] The main text of the study focusses on presenting vaccine impacts on mortality; more detailed estimates of mortality impacts and estimates of DALYs averted by vaccination are given in the Supplementary Information

[4] The 2017 revision of UN World Population Prospects: https://population.un.org/wpp/Download/Archive/Standard